Cognitive Systems Laboratory:

Publications

``A Statistical Semantics for Causation''

Technical Report (R-155)

J. Pearl and T.S. Verma

In Proceeding, 3rd International Workshop on AI & Statistics, Fort Lauderdale, FL, January 2-5, 1991.

Also in Statistics and Computing, 2, Chapman and Hall, 91-95, 1992.

``Qualitative Probabilities for Default Reasoning, Belief Revision, and Causal Modeling''

Technical Report (R-161-L)

M. Goldszmidt and J. Pearl

To appear in Artificial Intelligence.

``Belief Networks Revisited''

Technical Report (R-175)

J. Pearl

In Artificial Intelligence, 59, 49-56, 1993.

[Invited submission -- Special Issue, ``AI in Perspective'']

``An Algorithm for Deciding if a Set of Observed Independencies has a Causal Explanation''

Technical Report (R-177)

T.S. Verma and J. Pearl

In Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI-92), Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, CA, 323-330, July 1992.

``When Can Association Graphs Admit A Causal Explanation?''

Technical Report (R-183)

J. Pearl and N. Wermuth

In Proceedings of the Fourth International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, 141-150, January 1993.

In P. Cheeseman and W. Oldford (Eds.), Selecting Models and Data, Artificial Intelligence and Statistics IV, Springer-Verlag, 205-214, 1994.

``A Calculus of Pragmatic Obligation''

Technical Report (R-192)

J. Pearl

Presented at the AAAI Spring Symposium on Reasoning about Mental States, Stanford, CA March 23-25, 1993.

``Graphical Models, Causality, and Intervention''

[comments on: `Linear Dependencies Represented by Chain Graphics' by D. Cox and N. Wermuth, and `Bayesian Analysis in Expert Systems' by D.J. Spiegelhalter, A.P. Dawid, S.L. Lauritzen, and R.G. Cowell],

Technical Report (R-195-SS)

J. Pearl

In Statistical Science, Vol. 8, 266-269, 1993.

``Aspects of Graphical Models Connected With Causality,''

Technical Report (R-195-LL)

J. Pearl

In Proceedings of the 49th Session of the International Statistical Institute, Italy, Tome LV, Book 1, Florence, 399-401, August 1993.

``From Bayesian Networks to Causal Networks''

Technical Report (R-195-LLL)

J. Pearl

In A. Gammerman (Ed.) Bayesian Networks and Probabilistic Reasoning, Alfred Walter Ltd., London, 1994.

``Nonparametric Bounds on Causal Effects from Partial Compliance Data''

Technical Report (R-199)

A. Balke and J. Pearl

UCLA Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Technical Report R-199, September 1994.

``Universal Formulas for Treatment Effects from Noncompliance Data''

Technical Report (R-199-A)

A. Balke and J. Pearl

In N.P. Jewell, A.C. Kimber, M.-L. Lee, and G.A. Whitmore (Eds.), Lifetime Data: Models in Reliability and Survival Analysis, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, 39-43, 1995.

``On the Statistical Interpretation of Structural Equations''

Technical Report (R-200)

J. Pearl

UCLA Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Technical Report R-200, July 1993.

``On the Logic of Iterated Belief Revision''

Technical Report (R-202)

A. Darwiche and J. Pearl

In R. Fagin (Ed.), Proceedings of the 1994 Conference on Theoretical Aspects of Reasoning about Knowledge (TARK `94), Pacific Grove, CA, 5-23, March 13-16, 1994.

``Causal Inference from Indirect Experiments''

Technical Report (R-203-L)

J. Pearl

In Symposium Notes of the 1994 AAAI Spring Symposium on Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Stanford, CA, March 1994.

Extended version in Artificial Intelligence in Medicine Journal, Vol. 7, No. 6, 561-582, 1995.

``Symbolic Causal Networks for Reasoning about Actions and Plans''

Technical Report (R-206)

A. Darwiche and J. Pearl

In Symposium Notes of the 1994 AAAI Spring Symposium on Decision-Theoretic Planning, 41-47, March 21-23, 1994.

In Proceedings of the Twelfth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-94), Seattle, WA, Volume I, 238-244, July 31 - August 4, 1994.

``On the Identification of Nonparametric Structural Models''

Technical Report (R-207), Revision IV

J. Pearl

UCLA Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Technical Report R-207, November 1995.

To appear in Latent Variable Modelling with Application to Causality, Lecture Notes Series, Springer Verlag.

``Mediating Instrumental Variables''

Technical Report (R-210)

J. Pearl

UCLA Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Technical Report R-210, December 1993.

``A Note on Testing Exogeneity of Instrumental Variables''

Technical Report (R-211-S), Revision I

J. Pearl

UCLA Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Technical Report R-211-S, December 1993.

``On the Testability of Causal Models with Latent and Instrumental Variables''

Technical Report (R-211-U)

J. Pearl

In P. Besnard and S. Hanks (Eds.), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 11, Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco, CA, 435-443, 1995.

``A Probabilistic Calculus of Actions''

Technical Report (R-212)

J. Pearl

In R. Lopez de Mantaras and D. Poole (Eds.), Proceedings of the Tenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI-94), Morgan Kaufman, San Mateo, CA, 454-462, 1994.

``Probabilistic Evaluation of Counterfactual Queries''

Technical Report (R-213-A)

A. Balke and J. Pearl

In Proceedings of the Twelfth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-94), Seattle, WA, Volume I, 230-237, July 31 - August 4, 1994.

``Counterfactual Probabilities: Computational Methods, Bounds, & Applications''

Technical Report (R-213-B)

A. Balke and J. Pearl

In R. Lopez de Mantaras and D. Poole (Eds.), Proceedings of the Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI-94), Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, CA, 46-54, July 29-31, 1994.

``Bayesian Networks''

Technical Report (R-216), Revision I

J. Pearl

In M. Arbib (Ed.), Handbook of Brain Theory and Neural Networks, MIT Press, 149-153, 1995.

``Three Statistical Puzzles''

Technical Report (R-217), Revision I

J. Pearl

UCLA Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Technical Report R-217, May 1994.

``Causal Diagrams for Empirical Research,''

Technical Report (R-218-B)

J. Pearl

In Biometrika, Vol. 82, No. 4, 669-709, December 1995.

``Causal diagrams for empirical research,''

Technical Report (R-218-B-L)

J. Pearl

UCLA Cognitive Systems Laboratory, Technical Report R-218-B-L, January 1996.

Expanded version of a paper in Biometrika, 1995 (R-218-B).

``Probabilistic Evaluation of Sequential Plans from Causal Models with Hidden Variables''

Technical Report (R-219-U)

J. Pearl and James Robins

In P. Besnard and S. Hanks (Eds.), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 11, Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco, CA, 444-453, 1995.

``Causation, action, and counterfactuals,''

Technical Report (R-223-U)

J. Pearl

Presented at UNICOM Seminar, London, April 3-5, 1995.

In A. Gammerman (Ed.), Computational Learning and Probabilistic Reasoning, John Wiley and Sons, New York, Chapter, 15, 235-255, 1995.

``Testing Identifiability of Causal Effects,''

Technical Report (R-226-U)

D. Galles and J. Pearl

In P. Besnard and S. Hanks (Eds.), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 11, Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco, CA, 185-195, 1995.

``Counterfactuals and Policy Analysis in Structural Models''

Technical Report (R-232-U)

A. Balke and J. Pearl

In P. Besnard and S. Hanks (Eds.), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 11, Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco, CA, 11-18, 1995.

``Structural and Probabilistic Causality''

Technical Report (R-237)

J. Pearl

To appear in D.R. Shanks, K.J. Holyoak, and D.L. Medin (Eds.), The Psychology of Learning and Motivation, Vol. 34: Causal Learning Academic Press, San Diego, CA 1996.

``Axioms of Causal Relevance''

Technical Report (R-240-S), January 1996

D. Galles and J. Pearl

Preliminary version in Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on Mathematics and AI, Fort Lauderdale, FL, 64--67, January 1996.

``A Clinician's Apprentice for Analyzing Non-compliance,''

Technical Report (R-241), January 1996

D.M. Chickering and J. Pearl

To be presented at AAAI-96.

``Probabilistic Counterfactuals: Semantics, Computation, and Applications,''

Technical Report (R-242), November 1995.

A. Balke

Ph.D. Thesis

``Identifying Independencies in Causal Graphs with Feedback''

Technical Report (R-243), March 1996

J. Pearl and R. Dechter

Submitted to UAI-96.