PP Presentation

SMOKING AND CANCER:

HANDLING COMPETING MODELS

1. Surgeon General (1964):

2. Tobacco Industry:

3. Combined:

4. Combined and refined:

Genotype (unobserved)

Smoking

Cancer

Smoking

Cancer

Smoking

Cancer

Tar

P (c | do(s)) = noncomputable

P (c | do(s)) P (c | s)

P (c | do(s)) = computable

P (c | do(s)) = P (c)

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Notes:

slide 59