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NEEDED: ALGEBRA OF DOING

Available:

What is the chance it rained

if we see the grass wet?

e.g.,

Needed:

e.g.,

What is the chance it rained

if we make the grass wet?

algebra of doing

algebra of seeing

P (rain | wet) = ? {= P (wet | rain)

P (rain | do(wet)) = ?

{= P (rain)}

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Notes:

slide 55